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Hello Alan,

 

Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election ushers in a worrying and uncertain future for the fight against climate change. The 78-year-old president-elect has previously labelled the climate crisis a “hoax” and promised to “drill baby drill”. He also appears likely to pull the US from the Paris Agreement, again. 

 

For European climate tech, the question rests on what Trump decides to do with the subsidies offered to green tech companies under Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). Since the IRA was announced in 2022, Sifted has covered the climate tech companies that have headed stateside to take advantage of those incentives. 

 

Trump has repeatedly railed against the bill and promised to block any more funds from the package being spent. Acting on those promises will be easier said than done: repealing it would require the Republicans to hold a majority in both the House and the Senate (while they’ve secured the Senate, as I write this, who controls the House hangs in the balance). There’s also speculation over whether Trump will try to repeal it, given the package has created manufacturing jobs in many predominantly Republican-voting states.

Lena Thiede, general partner at Planet A, says Trump's re-election is a setback for green innovation worldwide, weakening the IRA and benefitting oil and gas interests. “However, unlike 2016, economic momentum and popular support still drive the green transition, even among some Trump supporters,” she adds. 

 

“For global climate policy, it's code red: sub-state action will be essential. It's also a wake-up call for Europe to step up self-reliance and competitiveness — green tech innovators will play a huge role here.”

 

When the IRA bill was announced, it left policymakers in Brussels scrambling to draw up subsidies that could keep European tech companies on the continent (a tough task, in the face of a $468bn package). Any uncertainty over the future of the subsidies could bring the centre of gravity back to Europe. 

 

“This can be an opportunity for Europe to see it as an advantage to keep the best tech — which has previously scaled in the US — at home,” says Daria Saharova, founding partner at World Fund. “But that's only an advantage and possible if we mobilise enough private and public capital to support it."

 

Saharova's colleague at World Fund Danijel Višević agrees, saying the election could help Europe grow closer together and increase investments that focus on the continent's resilience.

 

That said, there are obvious downsides for Europe if Trump’s promised tariffs come into force; they could cut off a key market for European climate tech exports. Likewise, if sustainability regulation in the US loosens under Trump, companies working on carbon accounting or reporting software could take a hit if the US is one of their markets.

 

Readers, I'd love to hear your thoughts too — do drop me a line here.

 

Elsewhere, I’ve been in Barcelona the last couple of days for Norrsken Impact Week — expect a dispatch on Spanish climate tech next week.

 

Today, my colleague Mimi Billing is looking into the importance of having experienced investors when things turn sour at startups. More on that below.

 

Plus:

  • The most active family offices for climate tech deals
  • French VC Axeleo launches a new FOAK fund 
  • “I could barely breathe,” Easee founder Jonas Helmikstøl tells Sifted

— Freya Pratty, senior reporter

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    🇫🇷 Axeleo Capital, a Lyon, France-based VC firm, has launched a new fund focused on first-of-a-kind (FOAK) climate tech. The finance gap for FOAK companies is well-documented — when companies have a product but not the capital to build a factory to produce it. Axeleo hopes to fill that gap.

    • The new fund has reached a first close of €125m, and is targeting €250m by 2026. Backers of the fund include the Révolution Environnementale et Solidaire fund, Bpifrance and the Veolia utilities group. 
    • The fund will write cheques of €3m-10m at Series A and B, and has money reserved for follow ons.

    🇸🇪 Northvolt needs to raise around SEK 10bn (€860m) in the coming year, the CEO of the battery maker told Swedish media Dagens industri yesterday, following a seminar at the Swedish Parliament. 

    • On whether Northvolt is looking for financial partners in China, Peter Carlsson said: “Just as our previous strategy by balancing financial investors with industrial strategic investors, we are also considering potential partnerships in this situation, including prospective partnerships in Asia. However, these discussions are at an early stage.”
    The big story

    The importance of investor experience

     

    When reading about the EV charging company Easee in Norwegian local media in 2023, it was hard to see how Norway's fastest-growing startup at the time could fail.

     

    The company had grown to 500 employees in four years and, in 2022, hit €180m in revenue and unicorn status. However, one year later, it was brought to the brink of bankruptcy due to a ban on its best-selling charger by the Swedish National Electrical Safety Board (ESV) following issues with the safety documentation for the chargers.

     

    Founder and CEO, Jonas Helmikstøl, took the hit, and while dealing with growing mental health struggles, he left the company in the autumn of 2023. 

     

    Now, one year later, he’s just raised €1.7m in pre-seed funding for his new energy startup, Starflow, and is determined not to repeat the same mistakes he made at Easee.

     

    “At times I felt unstoppable. I really want to show people, especially now, that I can do it again. And I will do it again and again and again,” Helmikstøl tells me.

     

    Being a first-time founder, it wasn’t an easy ride growing Easee as quickly as he did. Looking back, he says: “When you grow as fast as we did, there are so many rules and regulations to follow — I was constantly trying to put out fires.”

     

    Lack of shareholder support

     

    Although Helmikstøl took most of the blame for the issues and was fine doing so, he looks back at Easee's stakeholders — investors, advisors and employees — and thinks they could have handled the situation differently.

     

    “I think some people thought I didn't take it seriously enough, but someone had to stay positive to see us through. But with all the grownups around me, I wish some would have seen that I was struggling and needed help and support — not more pressure,” he says.

     

    “I get it, [investors] have people behind them that they are investing money for. And Easee was such an adventurous thing — then things turned overnight.

     

    “Having people that can deal with that pressure and not add more pressure to you because they are looking bad, this is what we are looking for now at Starflow,” he adds.

     

    Norway isn’t a mature startup nation and hasn’t had many huge success stories for founders to get inspired by. The same goes for most investors, according to Skyfall founding partner Jon Kåre Stene, who has invested in Starflow.

     

    “As with Jonas, from the investor side [at Easee], they were also doing this for the first time. The immaturity of investors in Norway who haven’t experienced that kind of rapid growth is a challenge,” he says. “Even today, Norway lacks investors going from Series A and above, who have been part of that journey and truly believe in the ability to build global super-companies — we don't actually have those in Norway.”  

     

    A Strong Talent Pool for Energy

     

    However, Norway isn’t lacking a large talent pool of energy experts. Having relied heavily on the oil and gas industry in the last century, the country is now looking for new solutions, according to Stene. This has recently led to the creation of numerous climate and energy startups: Tibber, Photoncycle and Wattif, to name a few.

     

    Although Norway has some of the cheapest electricity prices in the world due to abundant hydropower, it also has high demand due to having the most EVs per capita in the world. It’s no surprise that so many companies in the country operate in this space. But as the next generation of energy startups emerges from Norway, they need investors with an international mindset, according to Helmikstøl.

     

    “If we lack the competency, experience and mindset to do this properly, we will never get there as a nation. We will struggle immensely,”  he says.

     

    “All of the great companies will just get international investors instead because that's where they actually find someone who can help them grow the business.”

     

    Read the whole interview with Jonas Helmikstøl here.

     

    — Mimi Billing, Europe editor

    Must reads

    🤷‍♂️ EU shrugs off Trump’s threats to scrap green handouts. Trump may cut Europe out of America’s subsidy splurge, but EU industries aren’t seeing many benefits yet anyway, Politico reports.

     

    ☀️ Solar installers are hot but production is cooling. 

    • Sunny side up: solar, projected to become the world’s biggest source of electricity by the early 2030s, has been a remarkable story, and installations in Europe — though slowing this year as residential demand moderates — are still surging ahead of those in the US.
    • Sunny side down: but Europe’s biggest problem is China’s near-total dominance over global supply lines — there’s an extinction-level threat to production in this part of the world. Last week’s Sifted Pro briefing explored where there is possible brightness in solar and showcased 88 pre-seed to Series A startups in Europe.
    • From that market map, these four startups tell us they’re currently fundraising.
    Data

    Most of the time, family offices operate as LPs, investing in VC funds, but some make direct investments into startups. Using data from PitchBook, we looked at how many investments family offices have made into European climate tech startups in the last five years.

     

    Here are the top 5:

    1. Belgium-based Korys Investments, which invests the wealth of the Colruyt family, which owns supermarket stores.
    2. Lille-based Noria, which was founded by Christophe Guillaume, who previously sold a cereal ingredients company.
    3. Aurum Impact, founded by Germany’s Goldbeck family, a construction business. 
    4. Melbourne-based Euphemia, which invests the wealth of Up-founder Dominic Pym. 
    5. Stratel, a Norwegian, family-owned investment office.

    See their investments and the rest of the list of offices here. 

    Section Heading - 2023-11-02T100551.468

    Unlock the power of data for your startup — here's how.

     

    Every company is a data company, but how do you become a data-driven company? Our guide is here to lift the veil on extracting value from data, when it matters, in real time. We’ll go through how to collect it, analyse it and use it effectively — especially on data-hungry projects involving AI.

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    Deals

    Stockholm-based Flower, which focuses on energy storage and grid technology, raised €20m in Series A extension funding. Northzone led the round and was joined by investors including Giant Ventures, Sony Innovation Fund and Karl-Johan Persson (H&M chairman).

    • The funding follows on from a €25m Series A raise in August.

    Amsterdam-based SeaO2, which specialises in removing CO2 from seawater, raised €2m in seed funding from investors including Doen Participaties, NV NOM, Future Tech Ventures, CarbonFix, Eduard Talman (managing director and GigaSpg) and Siddharth Kambe (CEO at Kambe Energy).

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